User:Darwin2049/ChatGPT4/Conclusions Synthesis

Interfacing/Access - Conclusions: Facility in control of CG4 type tools will be comparable to taming fire;

CG4, its derivatives and brethren will introduce consequences just as transformative; we therefore note that:

• CG4 CP's are dual use: just like fire, CG4 will be used for both constructive as well as destructive purposes;
• pre-literate vs. post-literate societies: it is a powerful enabler for leveraging a collection of people toward forming a self sustaining, much more advanced social structures and organizational units;
• new horizons: CG4 will enable the recognition, articulation solutions to problems that less adept societies could not;
• knife to a gun fight: pre-CG4 social polities will be at a severe disadvantage comparable to the encounter between conquistadors vs indigenous New World natives;

At minimum we should expect to see CG4 class CP's being used as:

• self contained tools: an increasing recognition that CG4-Class tools can serve as capabilities in and of themselves
• interface mechanisms: and or they can serve as an intelligence connector to other more specialized capabilities such as IBM Watson or CYC Corp's CYC common sense knowledge base system;
• composite cognitive prosthetics: multiple instances configured to be autonomous agents based upon CG4 can be collected together to form "societies of mind; initial versions might have many to tens of instances; later variations might range into the hundreds or thousands of agents"
• extended composite CP systems: marketplaces offering ad hoc or persistent composite capabilities will proliferate; these will offer features and capabilities that can only be guessed at;

• how different groups can or will interact with this new capability?

We should expect to see a broad based transformation in how different groups will be able to interact with each other. More concretely this means that groups that possess the skills and motivation to use the new capabilities will be able to simplify their interaction and reduce "friction" that might otherwise exist due to inability to interact or interpret each others terminology, conceptual framework or objectives. Another very concrete outcome means that individual with shared or otherwise common interests that are operating in different societies might heretofore encounter language barriers. The CG4 ability to render translations means that there will be far greater ability to interact with a larger population of like-minded groups and organizations worldwide.

• how will or can they respond to its existence and presence? Recent studies have made plain that a powerful new technology will be adapted in record time if it is demonstrably a powerful leveraging tool; evidence of this can be seen in:
  • the CG4 "uptake curve": CG4 reached over one million users in a matter of days;
  • within less than two months it had reached 100 million;
  • a entire library of CG4 material has sprung into existence on how to use create new applications and extensions;
• how will they be affected by this new capability;
  • personalized tutors: the existing CG4 provides a user with the ability to pose remarkably sophisticated questions on a broad range of topics; where the acquisition of a new skill or area of expertise is envisioned it is capable of creating a study guide with a complete syllabus that provides a pathway from even the most superficial grasp of a topic to its most advanced areas;
  • interactive audio books: audio books will become passé; instead it will become preferable to be able to have a conversation with the book itself; were one to study the works of Konrad Nietzsche one would instead be able to effectively converse or otherwise "talk" with Nietzsche and discuss the various topics that the actual philosopher entertained when writing his works; we should expect to see variations on this capability wherein several legacy experts simulacra were instantiated and communications between them or existent users was enabled; a case in point might be enabling a conversation between Frank Herbert (author of Dune), Alan Watts and for instance, Jordan Peterson; a user initiating a session such as this would experience the two instances interacting and discussing with each other points of clarification; clearly even larger sets of knowledge areas can be brought to bear as well;
  • cross-referenced expertise multiple insights will become available within a single interactive session; for instance were one to study the topic of Stoicism as described by Epictetus and his peers as described, one might be able to re-represent his insights into a compact symbolic logic representation; such a representation structure might be used to provide insight on family or personal matters by individuals trained as sociologists or psychotherapists;
  • individualized advisors (professional and life coaches): individuals who aspire to the top ranks incorporations have come to recognize that navigating a successful path to the top requires a range of skills including leadership, communication and narrative story telling; it is not common to find the full set of these skills in any specific individual; being able to access the insights of experts in each of these areas will become more accessible and available;
  • enhanced collaborative problem solving: existing WebEx, Skype or Zoom teleconferencing have become common in enabling voice and video online and real time discussion; stepping into a higher dimension we should expect to see individuals come to the fore each with their individualized CP tool set and offer access to their peer experts;
  • emergence of marketplaces for novel objects, products and services: CG4 class CP's are already spawning new products and services; one case in point can be seen with the availability of organizations offering vector database services to host extended memory for LLM's; the existing CG4 offers a broad range and depth of capability; for specific purposes however fine tuning is indicated; looking forward a short way down the road we should expect to see organizations offering their services or tools that facilitate the fine tuning task; the ability to fine tune a LLM will mean that there will be an explosion in the range, sophistication and depth of capability of LLM based tools;
  • novel and inexplicable disruptions of service providers such as wireless or other online capabilities:
  • high risk/payoff early adapters: the early adaptors will explore the new terrain and gain the advantages that those who have mapped out the advantageous terrain is relative to the pitfalls. We should see a proliferation of tools that facilitate fine tuning, simplification of incorporation of vector databases that dramatically expand on a CP's ability to access a specific domain or set of knowledge domains.
• might the various access modalities that are available to one group have positive or negative implications for other groups.
  • early vs. late adapters
  • increasingly chaotic anecdotal reality
  • phenotypical bifurcation
  • skills explosion: generalists & specialists

Synthesis Uptake of CG4 class capabilities are likely to follow the patterns of previous technology advances. Recent reporting showed that ChatGPT uptake was the most rapid technology in recent memory.