User:Darwin2049/ChatGPT4-Sandbox

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Revision as of 23:33, 23 April 2023 by Darwin2049 (talk | contribs) (ChatGPT 4. Communities * Capabilities * Risks * Scenarios)
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(2023.04.23@16:30; sharper, more focused, succinct; shorter, cut to the chase;

Overview. In the following we try to analyze and contextualize the current known facts surrounding the OpenAI ChatGPT4 (CG4) system.

  • CG4: we offer a summary of how OpenAI describes it; put simply, what is CG4?
  • Impressions: our focus then moves to examine what some voices of concern are saying;
  • Impact: we then shift focus to what is being said about it; we note that in some cases people express astonishment and wonder; in other case they express fear and concern;
  • Scenarios: here we focus on how CG4 might be used be used in expected and unexpected ways;

CG4 – what is it: CG4 is a narrow artificial intelligence system, it:

  • is based upon and is a refinement of its predecessor, the Chat GPT 3.5 system;
  • has been developed using the generative predictive transformer (GPT) model;
  • has been trained on a very large data set including textual material that can be found on the internet;
  • is capable of sustaining conversational interaction using text based input provided by a user;
  • can provide contextually relevant and consistent responses;
  • can link topics in a chronologically consistent manner and refer back to them in current prompt requests;
  • is a Large Language Models that uses prediction as the basis of its actions;
  • uses deep learning neural networks and very large training data sets;
  • uses a SAAS model; like Google Search, Youtube or Morningstar Financial;

Impressions – What are people saying about it?

  • possess no consciousness, sentience, intentionality, motivation or self reflectivity;
  • is a narrow artificial intelligence;
  • is available to a worldwide 24/7 audience;
  • can debug and write, correct and provide explanatory documentation to code;
  • explain its responses
  • write music and poems
  • summarize convoluted documents or stories
  • score in the 90% level on the SAT, Bar and Medical Exams
  • provide answers to homework,
  • self critiques and improves own responses;
  • provide explanations to difficult abstract questions
  • calibrate its response style to resemble known news presenters or narrators;
  • provides convincingly accurate responses to Turing Test questions;

Impressions – Positive.

  • has demonstrated performance that suggests that it can pass the Turing Test;
  • CG4 derivative such as a CG5 could exhibit artificial general intelligence (AGI) capability;
  • emergent capabilities;
  • spatial, mathematical reasoning;

Impressions – Concerns.

  • knowledge gaps: inability to provide meaningful or intelligent responses on certain topics;
  • deception: might be capable to evade human control, replicate and devise independent agenda to pursue;
  • intentionality: possibility of agenda actions being hazardous or inimical to human welfare;
  • economic disruption: places jobs at risk because it can now perform some tasks previously defined within a job description;
  • emergence: unforeseen, uncontrollable capabilities; Bengali self taught;
  • “hallucinations”: solution, answers not grounded in real world;

Impact.

Speculations. The range of possible areas that CG4 is very broad; in fact, society wide; therefore we will try to maintain focus by presenting a few possible scenarios of how its capabilities might be used;

  • Influence, Persuasion;
  • Novel capabilities;

Notes

References