User:Darwin2049/ChatGPT4/Conclusions Synthesis
Conclusions
CG4, its derivatives and brethren is an advance in technology. It offers capabilities comparable to the taming of fire. As anyone would know, fire can be used for both constructive as well as destructive purposes. Control of fire is a powerful enabler for leveraging a collection of people toward forming a self sustaining, critical mass society. With the possession of fire any manner of new solutions to problems that hunter-gatherer societies had were eliminated. With the ability to control fire the state was set for further advances. These advances led ineluctably toward civilizations with greater sophistication and refinement. At minimum we should expect to see
- self contained tool: an increasing recognition that CG4-Class tools can serve as capabilities in and of themselves
- powerful "bridge": and or they can serve as a "bridge" to other more specialized capabilities'
- composite cognitive prosthetics: multiple instances or agents based upon CG4 can be collected together to form "societies of mind"'
- extended composite CP systems: marketplaces offering ad hoc or persistent composite capabilities will proliferate; these will offer features and capabilities that can only be guessed at;
- Interfacing/Access:
- how different groups can or will interact with this new capability?
We should expect to see a broad based transformation in how different groups will be able to interact with each other. More concretely this means that groups that possess the skills and motivation to use the new capabilities will be able to simplify their interaction and reduce "friction" that might otherwise exist due to inability to interact or interpret each others terminology, conceptual framework or objectives. Another very concrete outcome means that individual with shared or otherwise common interests that are operating in different societies might heretofore encounter language barriers. The CG4 ability to render translations means that there will be far greater ability to interact with a larger population of like-minded groups and organizations worldwide.
- how will or can they respond to its existence and presence?
Recent studies that focus on how new technologies have been adapted into common use have shown that there is an "uptake curve". This uptake curve shows the rate at which a new technology is adapted and permeates a society. The CG4 capability reached over one hundred million users in a matter of weeks. This was far faster than any other recent capability on record. Its adaption rushed past that of Youtube.com and Facebook. Each of which now have massive, global audiences. Looking
- how will they be affected by this new capability;
- might the various access modalities that are available to one group have positive or negative implications for other groups.
- Impact. Broad Based. Disruptive. Transformative. High risk/payoff for early adapters.
- Skills Explosion. Generalists, Specialists. High Leverage.
Synthesis Uptake of CG4 class capabilities are likely to follow the patterns of previous technology advances. Recent reporting showed that ChatGPT uptake was the most rapid technology in recent memory.
