/ChatGPT4-Sandbox

Overview. In the following we try to analyze and contextualize the current known facts surrounding the OpenAI ChatGPT4 (CG4) system.

• CG4: we offer a summary of how OpenAI describes it; put simply, what is CG4?

• Impressions: our focus then moves to examine what some voices of concern are saying;

• Impact: we then shift focus to what is being said about it; we note that in some cases people express astonishment and wonder; in other case they express fear and concern;

• Scenarios: here we focus on how CG4 might be used be used in expected and unexpected ways;

CG4 – what is it: CG4 is a narrow artificial intelligence system, it:

• is based upon and is a refinement of its predecessor, the Chat GPT 3.5 system;
• has been developed using the generative predictive transformer (GPT) model;
• has been trained on a very large data set including textual material that can be found on the internet;
• is capable of sustaining conversational interaction using text based input provided by a user;
• can provide contextually relevant and consistent responses;
• can link topics in a chronologically consistent manner and refer back to them in current prompt requests;
• is a Large Language Models that uses prediction as the basis of its actions;
• uses deep learning neural networks and very large training data sets;
• uses a SAAS model; like Google Search, Youtube or Morningstar Financial;

Impressions – What are people saying about it?

• possess no consciousness, sentience, intentionality, motivation or self reflectivity;
• is a narrow artificial intelligence;
• is available to a worldwide 24/7 audience;
• can debug and write, correct and provide explanatory documentation to code;
• explain its responses
• write music and poems
• summarize convoluted documents or stories
• score in the 90% level on the SAT, Bar and Medical Exams
• provide answers to homework,
• self critiques and improves own responses;
• provide explanations to difficult abstract questions
• calibrate its response style to resemble known news presenters or narrators;
• provides convincingly accurate responses to Turing Test questions;

Impressions – Some Positive.

• has demonstrated performance that suggests that it can pass the Turing Test;
• CG4 derivative such as a CG5 could exhibit artificial general intelligence (AGI) capability;
• emergent capabilities;
• spatial, mathematical reasoning;

Impressions – Some Concerns.

• knowledge gaps: inability to provide meaningful or intelligent responses on certain topics;
• deception: might be capable to evade human control, replicate and devise independent agenda to pursue;
• intentionality: possibility of agenda actions being hazardous or inimical to human welfare;
• economic disruption: places jobs at risk because it can now perform some tasks previously defined within a job description;
• emergence: unforeseen, uncontrollable capabilities; Bengali self taught;
• “hallucinations”: solution, answers not grounded in real world;

Impact.

Speculations. The range of possible areas that CG4 is very broad; in fact, society wide; therefore we will try to maintain focus by presenting a few possible scenarios of how its capabilities might be used;

• Influence, Persuasion;
• Novel capabilities;