Darwin2049/chatgpt4 omega political
OpenAI - ChatGPT4.
In what follows we attempt to address several basic questions about the onrushing progress with the current focus of artificial intelligence. There are several competing actors in this space. These include OpenAI, DeepMind, Anthropic, and Cohere. A number of other competitors are active in the artificial intelligence market place. But for purposes of brevity and because of the overlap we will limit focus on ChatGPT4 (CG4). Further, we focus on several salient questions that that raise questions of safety, risk and prospects.
Specifically, risks that involve or are:
- Interfacing/Access: how will different groups interact with, respond to and be affected by it; might access modalities available to one group have positive or negative implications for other groups;
- Political/Competitive: how might different groups or actors gain or lose relative advantage; also, how might it be used as a tool of control. We should expect that groups with well focused public agendas will seize the opportunity to use the most advanced tools available to further their fortunes. The nature of any political system means cutting a pie of finite size. The members of any group can be counted on to on the lookout for any means to further their standing with their constituencies. Therefore we should expect to see messaging from those political groups with the technical sophistication to use the new knowledge based tools to refine and tailor their messaging.
Proof of this can be seen in the Netflix documentary called "The Great Hack". During the documentary the viewer is presented with the process of how voter information was used to target highly specific messages to prospective voters. The political campaigns that present considerable detail on how this technology was used included the American presidential election of 2016. The other political campaign that is discussed was how the company called Cambridge Analytica targeted messaging to British voters to vote in favor of the Brexit initiative.
In summary format:
Political.
Possible Favorable.
Continually advancing AI systems will impact all aspects of political reality; if we consider what the major headings that a review of political realities consists of we typically see the group being in: messaging, narratives, issues awareness, voter registration campaigns, legal civil actions, coalition building, campaign management, candidate support. There other other focal points but these should suffice to form a basis on which to make some observations. What positives might we see?
- improved messaging;
- more efficient political action, reaction feedback loops, more responsive government and issues resolution;
- more dynamic coalition building and candidate promotion;
Possible Risks.
- extremely convincing but false narratives, rumors, scandals, smears and gadfly efforts;
- increased social disruption associated with economic dislocation and disenfranchisement;
Geopolitical.
The reality of geopolitical shifts demands extremely close attention to any nation state in today's small world. Therefore any and all means of remaining highly attentive to shifts in the movements of alliance, international finance, political treaties is of the utmost crucial importance. Any tool that can facilitate making sense of an extremely broad range of actors and movements is therefore of extreme value; a tool such as a CG4 or variant will enable its owner to identify and act upon opportunities and threats, possibly well before any other actors are even aware of them; existing multi-agent CG4 or other autonomous agent based system will command the highest value;
Possible Favorable.
- more effective coalition and alliance building and effective back channel messaging;
- increasingly reliable and realistic situational gaming environments;
Possible Risks.
- engage in covert actions, unrestricted warfare;
- espionage as well as detailed war-gaming;
- Evolutionary/Stratification: might new classifications of social categories emerge; were phenotypical bifurcations to emerge would or how would the manifest themselves;
- Epistemological/Ethical relativism: how to reconcile ethical issues within a society, between societies; more specifically, might it provide solutions or results that are acceptable to the one group but unacceptable to the other group; recent attention has been drawn to the evidence that a LLM such as CG4 may begin to exhibit sycophancy in its interactions with a user; even if the value stance of the user can be considered as an equivocation;